GOP SC Result Shows True Colors of Conservatives

Newt won the South Carolina GOP primary this past weekend, and did so by a lot of votes - sending one time front runner and presumed nominee Mitt "corporations are people my friend" Romney into scramble mode, and making the Republican race as up-for-grabs as it has ever been this time around.

But that's on the surface. What does Palmetto State win by Gingrich really say about conservative voters?

Well, we know that SC is a very, very conservative state. Hell, there is no such thing as left of center down there. The closest you'd get is a moderate Republican. So, we know that the voting populous there definitely represents a large number of conservatives, and presumably a good cross section of conservative beliefs on topics such as the economy, social issues, foreign affairs, etc. So, we know that South Carolina is a good test bed for taking measure of where conservatives are at.

Next, we know that the four main candidates - Romney, Newt, Santorum and Ron Paul - all represent different shades of conservatism and personality. All conservatives mind you, but different in some key ways:

• Mitt is the classic upper class "silk stocking" Republican that used to dominate the party before social conservatives took over in the 80s. On the upside for Republicans, he should represent the ultimate outcome of their preferred economic prescription for America. You an economic conservative? Mitt's your man. On the downside for the Rs, he's aloof, from Massachusetts and Mormon. That last one probably being the worst for a party run by evangelical Christians.
• Newt is an old hand in the Republican Party, having been the Speaker of the House in the 1990s. He's an authoritarian, combative and a good debater. On the up side for Republicans, he is seen as a fighter (a bully really) - as someone unafraid to take on Obama with the toughest rhetoric and stances. On the downside for them, he is a walking abomination in terms of their party's claims around support for "family values" and moral codes lifted from the Bible. Newt also has a clear track record of simply changing his stance on things so that he's always on the opposite side of his opponent and can argue with him/her. Oh, and he presided over an expanding Federal government he ground to a halt in the 1990s, lost his Speakership to ethics charges and is corporately indentured as heavily as anyone else running.
• Rick Santorum is THE MAN when it comes to religious conservatism. It doesn't get any more Christ-y than Rick. On the upside for Republicans, in Santorum they have a very clear, very obvious guy to vote for if their issue is moral and family values (as defined by the GOP and conservatives that is). On the downside, some may see him as unelectable against Obama and feel he is not as aggressive as Newt.

• Ron Paul is the libertarian in the group. He believes in virtually no Federal government at all. So, Republicans could see him as champion for one of their big causes, small government. On the downside for them, he also believes Marijuana should be legal, we shouldn't be the world's police and the government has no business in the lives of gay people.

So with the rock solid conservative credentials of the South Carolina people and the above lineup of candidates vying for their votes, what does a resounding win by Gingrich tell us about where the collective head of the conservative party is at?

My conclusion is that the SC results show that conservatives are quickly and conveniently willing forget their supposedly strong support for "family," "responsibility," and "fiscal conservatism," and "small government," in favor of a guy they thing will be able to verbally beat down Obama. Essentially, they will sell out their values for an authoritarian guy who they think will thug his way to the Presidency. This trumps other candidates and core beliefs. Truth, adherence to strong principles, small government, ethics, religion, family values...all that stuff can go out the window because conservatives like how Newt can verbally beat someone up.

How else can you explain it? If conservatives' primary objective is to "restore family values," then Santorum should have won the primary.

If they wanted to ensure the continuation of government support for the "supply side" economics they so love (government by and for the 1%), then Mitt should have come out on top.

And, if they wanted to really shake things up and get things back to more of a "state's rights" situation (ask South Carolinians about state's rights...they'll tell you that is why the North started the Civil War. Note: that wasn't the reason and the South started the war...but I digress), then Ron Paul should have won.

But they didn't. Newt did.

Typically, conservatives respond well to being told by a strong man (bully) what to do, how to think, how to vote and what to say about the opponent. No thinking, no critique...just do it. Nixon, Cheney, Haig, McCarthy, Rumsfeld, Limbaugh, Oliver North. Those are the types conservatives flock to, and so is Newt. He always has been.

Luckily, some other GOP primaries are taking place in less distilled conservative states so we may see some more moderation in the vote tallies for the candidates. But, I'll be watching to see if "tough guy" beats out "smart guy," "religious guy" and "live free or die guy."

Something not "Wright" about media coverage of NC/Indiana primaries

I tuned in last night to see results of the big Indiana and North Carolina Democratic primaries and quickly became confused.

Somehow, some way, the media inexplicably was completely ignoring the most influential man in US politics and the dominating personality in the Democratic primary race...a man the media has spent weeks and weeks focusing on, talking about, soliciting opinions about, conducing polls about, criticizing, reviewing, showing, interviewing, etc., etc., etc.

Indeed, where was Reverend Jeremiah Wright?


Based on the incessant media coverage I thought for sure that it was Rev. Wright who was running for president.

Instead, the talking heads last night were consistently talking about a fellow named Barack Obama. Now, I certainly had heard that this Mr. Obama may have had something to do with Rev. Wright...hell, you couldn't avoid it as part of the wall-to-wall Wright-o-thon the media has been running over the past few weeks.

And then it dawned on me...oh, I get it...this Barack Obama guy must be the one running for office since on election night it was his name and face the media showed and talked about. Boy did I feel duped. With all the attention on Rev. Wright, I thought for sure he was actually running.

OK, so I'm not as dumb as all that, but I think you get my point. The media really, really stink and they're doing everything they can to keep this primary going for their own ratings.

I think this has two big impacts. First, the average American voter may not be too much savvier than the sarcastic personality I indulged in above. Based on media coverage, people actually think that Obama in some way is 100% the same as this Reverend and won't vote for him. Second, I think the corporate media (ABC, NBC, CBS, CNN, Fox) that are owned by some of the biggest companies in the world (Disney, GE, Time/Warner, News Corp) will all continue to focus on the Reverend as Republicans attack Obama over him and, frankly, as the big business media corporations themselves would rather see a McCain presidency than an Obama presidency.

NOTE: The picture in this post was NOT taken by me.

Is the Dem PA primary the key to the entire presidential election?

This isn’t a political blog per se, but...

Could the PA Democratic primary this week literally decide the entire presidential election? Will a Tuesday in April be the key date in deciding who will be our next president and not Election Day in November?

If Obama wins the PA primary by any margin, it’s definitely over in my book. Clinton probably gets out and he goes on to sew up the nomination and can quickly turn his attention to battling McCain. In my opinion, he would likely succeed…being elected President.

If Hillary wins by a lot (say, 15-20 percentage points or more), will she then become the unstoppable candidate who could also turn focus to McCain for a successful campaign to election? Would Obama become the faded star without momentum? Both seem likely in my opinion...especially with the corporate media dying to tell that dramatic of a "comback" story.

But, as is most likely I think, what if Hillary wins PA by only a few percentage points?

Obama would retain his delegate and vote lead. Clinton obviously would continue on presumably to do as well as she can and then try for superdelegate support and the Florida and Michigan delegates to be seated (in her favor, of course). But, this will mean a long, drawn out campaign of bickering, division and damage among the Dems (and a “pass” for McCain) for so long that, really, you get this guy elected President in November....

So, to me, it kinda comes down to how things go in PA this week.

What do you think? Do you think there is a scenario in which Barack and Hill battle it out down to the very last primary and into the convention…but still pull the rabbit out of the hat and defeat McCain?

My gut tells me this is not likely to happen…and I’m scared what that means for us all. I hope I'm wrong.

NOTE: The pictures in this post were NOT taken by me.